Kazakhstan vs Wales: prediction & betting odds 4 September 2025

The Matchday 5 clash in the 2026 World Cup Qualifiers between Kazakhstan and Wales will take place on September 4 at the Astana Arena. Kazakhstan vs. Wales: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Kazakhstan

In the last round, Ali Aliyev's side suffered a 0-1 defeat at home to North Macedonia. This loss marked Kazakhstan's fifth defeat in their last six World Cup qualifiers, and in four of those matches, they failed to score. With three points from three games, the team is currently fourth in the group.

• The team has not won in regular time in their last 11 home World Cup qualifiers (4 draws, 7 losses).
• Kazakhstan has failed to score in 90 minutes in 4 of their last 5 home matches in the Euro qualifiers.
• Kazakhstan has conceded at least two goals in regular time in 6 of their last 8 home World Cup qualifiers.

Predicted lineup for Kazakhstan (5-4-1)

Temirlan Anarbekov – Erkin Tapalov, Nuraly Alip, Sultanbek Astanov, Sergey Maliy, Yan Vorogovsky – Islam Chesnokov, Serikzhan Muzhikov, Maxim Samorodov, Ramazan Orazov – Dastan Satpayev.

First-choice goalkeeper Alexander Zarutsky is not called up due to injury. Midfielder Baktiyor Zainutdinov is also out due to injury.

Wales

In the last round, Craig Bellamy's side lost 3-4 away to Belgium. This result ended Wales' 12-match unbeaten run in World Cup qualifiers (8 wins, 4 draws). It was also the first time since 2012 that Wales conceded more than three goals in a World Cup qualifier. However, the Welsh side scored three goals for the third time in their last four qualifiers. In the standings, Wales is second with seven points from four matches.

• The team has not lost in regular time in 10 of their last 12 away World Cup qualifiers (4 wins, 6 draws).
• Both teams scored in 90 minutes in 5 of Wales' last 6 away Euro qualifiers.
• Wales has scored in the first half in 5 of their last 6 away World Cup qualifiers.

Predicted lineup for Wales (4-5-1)

Carl Darlow – Ben Davies, Ben Cabango, Chris Mepham, Neco Williams – David Brooks, Sorba Thomas, Jordan James, Harry Wilson, Mark Harris – Brennan Johnson.

Key defender Joe Rodon will miss the upcoming matches due to injury.

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez (Spain)

Matches – 11 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 29;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 20;

Penalties – 27%.

Kazakhstan vs. Wales: Match Prediction

In World Cup qualifiers, Kazakhstan rarely contends for top spots, and even at home, the team has not won for a long time. Over their last 11 home matches in this qualification, Kazakhstan has not won, suffering seven defeats in this stretch. Additionally, scoring has been a challenge for Kazakhstan: in 4 of their last 5 home qualifiers, they failed to find the net.

The Welsh, on the other hand, have been successful away in World Cup qualifiers: in their last 12 away matches, the team has lost only twice, both times to Belgium (4 wins, 6 draws). However, Wales does not always perform well in terms of scoring in away World Cup qualifiers: in their last 16 matches, they have scored more than one goal in only six games.

I believe the Welsh will avoid defeat in a low-scoring match. My prediction: Double chance for Wales and Total under 2.5 goals